Nicolas Mejia vs Ilya Ivashka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In their recent performance, Mejia has won 45.03% of points on their second serve, slightly outperforming Ivashka's 42.72%. Could this give Mejia a subtle edge when their first serve falls short?
• Focusing on return capabilities, Ivashka leads with 49.03% of opponent's second serve points won, compared to Mejia's 43.67%. Does this suggest stronger return skills by Ivashka?
• For first serve return points, Ivashka again edges Mejia, winning 32.61% versus 29.66%. Might this provide Ivashka with a significant advantage in returning?
• When under pressure, Ivashka narrowly surpasses Mejia in saving break points, with 55.26% compared to Mejia's 54.44%. Could this be a critical factor during crucial match moments?
• In terms of matches won over the past year, Ivashka stands at 60.87%, whereas Mejia has a 49.23% win rate. Does this greater success rate make Ivashka the favorite?
• Surface performance reveals Mejia's best results on Clay (57% win rate), but struggles on Grass (0%). Ivashka performs best on Hard surfaces with a 62% win rate, indicating possible adaptability to various courts.
• Regarding the level of competition, Mejia mostly competes at Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 50% of matches, whereas Ivashka has competed more extensively in Futures/Satellites, boasting a 75% win rate.
• The average rank of opponents over the last year is lower for Mejia (341.28) than Ivashka (218.48). Does Ivashka face tougher competition?
• In deciding sets, Ivashka slightly edges Mejia with a 50% win rate versus Mejia's 48%. Could this imply greater mental fortitude in tight matches?
• When converting break points recently, Ivashka excels with a conversion rate of 40.54%, surpassing Mejia's 33.19%. Might this efficiency in break point conversion tip the scales in Ivashka's favor?

Editorial Prediction (August 31, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent form and statistics of both players, Ivashka demonstrates a slight edge in several critical areas. Ivashka excels in return game statistics, efficiently winning more points on their opponent's serves. This can be a decisive factor, especially when facing opponents with strong serve play.

While Mejia holds a marginal advantage in second serve performance, Ivashka's ability to outshine on returns and higher breakpoint conversion rates suggests greater overall match control. Ivashka’s higher match win rate over the past year and success against more formidable opponents underscore his competitiveness and experience at a higher level of play.

Given the balance between Ivashka's superior performance under pressure, effective returns, and greater success rate in recent matches, Ivashka is poised as the likely victor in the upcoming tennis match.